We’re four weeks in, or 1/3 of the regular season for teams that have not had their bye yet. By this point, we should have a bead on most teams and be able to more accurately make picks. You would think, at least. Currently, I’m not all that accurate at 25-19 or 57%, but with a little improvement I can hopefully hit my 60% goal for the season. I’ve got to bear down and get serious.
Let’s varnish this woodshop project…
Northwestern @ Iowa – Noon (not televised). Not even BTN? Strange. The Wildcats have struggled so far and this year is looking mighty dismal with an ineffective rushing game and an inability to put up real points. The Hawkeyes do look better, but not great by any means. That loss to NDSU really took the wind out of their black and yellow sails, and they didn’t exactly roll Rutgers. This could be close, but I give the Hawkeyes the nod as being a bit better and at home. Iowa is a 13.5-point favorite and they win by 14 and cover.
Rutgers @ #2 Ohio State – Noon on BTN. Sorry Scarlet Knights but you’re going to have all kinds of bucknuts in your face come Saturday. This should be a romp for Urbz and his boys. The only question, really, is do they cover? Heck, Washington won by 35. Ohio State is a 38.5-point favorite but they win by 48 and cover.
Purdue @ Maryland – 3:30pm on BTN. Maryland feels like they are better than Purdue, but who really knows for sure. The Boilermakers put up more yards and convert more thrid downs, but the Terps score more points. The game is in Maryland, so give the Terps three points for home field advantage. Maryland is favored by 10-points but they win by 13 and cover.
#8 Wisconsin @ #4 Michigan – 3:30pm on ABC. This game is huge. It’s huge because I’m praying for the Badgers to knock off the Wolverines in the Big House. I hate Michigan, but you know that. Even though my Spartans lost to the Badgers last week, I have no ill feelings and I actually always pull for the Badgers. Do I think they can do it? Yes. Do I think they will do it? Probably not. Ugh. Michigan is a 10.5-point favorite but they win by three and don’t cover.
Illinois @ #15 Nebraska – 3:30pm on ESNP-2. The Illini are not looking much improved under the guidance of first year coach Lovie Smith, but this was never going to be a one year turnaround; give them five years at least. The Huskers are looking good and this game is in Lincoln. Nebraska is favored by 21-points and they win by 24 and cover.
Minnesota @ Penn State – 3:30pm on BTN. I don’t trust the Gopher’s defense at all. At the same time, the Lions offense isn’t a huge threat. I feel like Coach Franklin is losing support as his mediocrity becomes more and more apparent. This one has the stink of an upset. Penn State is favored by 3-points but loses by three in OT and does not cover.
#17 Michigan State @ Indiana – 8:00pm on BTN. Prime time and under the lights but on BTN, kind of an oxymoron. I think the Hoosiers are worse than they look and the Spartan defense will stymie their offense. They’ll sneak off one or two long yardage plays but that should be about it. I believe the Spartans will have their hottest offensive game of the year as they redeem themselves after the no-TD Badger game. Honestly, I think they go off. Michigan State is favored by 7-points but they win by 21 and easily cover. Go GREEN!!!
Everyone plays this week, no byes.
A couple of really good games here, especially if Wiscy spanks the Harbaughs in Ann Arbaugh, that would be soooo great. Go Bucky! But no matters who wins and who loses, let’s always remember to…